Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 89.09
Price - 52 Week High: 106.10
Price - 52 Week Low: 68.81
Price Date (Latest): 10/17/19
Median Price Target: 99.28
Diff from Prev Close: 10.19
% Difference: 11.44

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

1.90

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 7.37
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 3.60
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 7.89
Yield (%): 4.04

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 8.52 11.85 5.19 8.30 13 4 5 -3.67
Annual 12/1/20 9.50 12.65 7.45 9.27 21 7 6 -1.27
Annual 12/1/19 4.80 7.00 4.00 4.67 20 2 14 -5.54
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.66 2.59 0.76 1.72 15 2 8 -3.75
Quarterly 6/1/20 2.89 3.64 2.05 2.64 15 3 7 -0.34
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.43 1.89 1.27 1.39 19 1 15 -16.36
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.48 3.30 0.85 1.35 19 7 7 -1.13
Long Term Growth 3.99 3.99 3.99 3.99 1 -- -- 0.00

Actuals -

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 7.37 6.26 17.66
Annual 12/1/17 4.96 4.87 1.83
Annual 12/1/16 3.72 3.67 1.25
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.51 1.37 10.04
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.34 0.23 47.36
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.12 1.07 98.44
Quarterly 9/1/18 2.01 1.95 2.95

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 51.89
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 56.12 63.31 50.06 55.56 4 2 1 0.09
Annual 12/1/20 54.00 58.13 46.90 54.09 6 2 2 -0.56
Annual 12/1/19 50.96 52.91 46.22 51.84 6 2 2 -0.26
Quarterly 3/1/20 53.42 54.05 52.80 53.42 2 1 1 -0.94
Quarterly 6/1/20 54.94 56.36 53.52 54.94 2 1 1 -1.41
Quarterly 9/1/19 52.20 52.49 51.92 52.20 2 1 1 -0.18
Quarterly 12/1/19 52.60 52.91 52.28 52.60 2 1 1 -0.78

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 51.89 49.47 4.89
Annual 12/1/17 50.68 45.54 11.29
Annual 12/1/16 44.35 43.89 1.04
Quarterly 6/1/19 51.48 51.78 -0.57
Quarterly 3/1/19 51.07 50.41 1.32
Quarterly 12/1/18 51.89 51.72 0.32
Quarterly 9/1/18 51.60 50.55 2.07

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 15.17 17.87 11.16 15.04 7 1 3 -4.38
Annual 12/1/20 15.90 20.30 12.78 15.65 9 3 4 -0.21
Annual 12/1/19 10.77 12.17 9.51 10.64 9 1 6 -2.27
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.12 4.89 2.08 2.96 6 1 5 -3.09
Quarterly 6/1/20 4.69 6.07 3.60 4.81 6 2 3 2.78
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.89 3.48 2.65 2.80 6 -- 6 -11.22
Quarterly 12/1/19 2.73 3.97 1.37 2.69 6 2 4 -1.37

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 12.35 10.18 21.27
Annual 12/1/16 10.39 9.49 9.45
Quarterly 6/1/19 3.64 2.96 22.91
Quarterly 3/1/19 2.09 1.81 15.71
Quarterly 9/1/18 3.22 3.61 -10.85

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.20
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 4.22 4.40 3.60 4.28 9 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 3.95 4.23 3.60 3.99 14 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 3.61 3.68 3.60 3.60 14 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.99 1.00 0.97 0.99 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.99 1.00 0.97 0.99 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.91 0.98 0.90 0.90 6 -- -- -0.29

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.20 3.21 -0.24
Annual 12/1/17 2.80 2.80 -0.02
Annual 12/1/16 2.40 2.40 -0.07
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.90 0.89 0.75
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.90 0.89 0.64
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.80 0.80 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.80 0.80 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 4,697.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 4,567.08 6,281.00 3,162.45 4,406.99 8 2 2 -3.70
Annual 12/1/20 5,211.83 6,238.65 4,395.00 4,942.00 11 4 3 -1.26
Annual 12/1/19 3,097.14 4,239.00 2,632.00 3,149.40 11 1 6 -4.86
Quarterly 3/1/20 983.12 1,493.33 537.30 944.05 6 -- 4 -6.21
Quarterly 6/1/20 1,633.29 2,041.33 1,241.00 1,612.10 6 1 3 0.32
Quarterly 9/1/19 982.75 1,199.00 833.00 905.57 8 -- 5 -9.02
Quarterly 12/1/19 932.02 1,886.00 579.00 782.50 8 2 3 -4.90

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4,697.00 3,985.18 17.86
Annual 12/1/17 3,599.00 3,567.60 0.88
Annual 12/1/16 2,881.00 3,091.28 -6.80
Quarterly 6/1/19 908.00 1,020.88 -11.06
Quarterly 3/1/19 308.00 296.18 3.99
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,302.00 710.37 83.29
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,219.00 1,213.19 0.48

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 6,766.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 6,981.59 8,397.47 5,478.71 6,895.80 11 6 3 -1.81
Annual 12/1/20 7,685.03 9,247.49 6,599.86 7,567.82 18 7 7 -0.66
Annual 12/1/19 5,245.37 5,748.00 4,872.00 5,148.51 18 2 13 -2.86
Quarterly 3/1/20 1,530.73 2,027.55 1,065.11 1,497.00 11 2 6 -3.28
Quarterly 6/1/20 2,220.54 2,639.39 1,795.34 2,302.77 11 3 5 -0.37
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,460.53 1,694.00 1,359.39 1,429.34 14 -- 12 -9.77
Quarterly 12/1/19 1,433.11 1,823.00 1,144.00 1,393.19 14 5 6 -0.41

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 6,766.00 6,044.48 11.94
Annual 12/1/17 5,585.00 5,548.77 0.65
Annual 12/1/16 4,775.00 4,869.02 -1.93
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,474.00 1,481.82 -0.53
Quarterly 3/1/19 859.00 793.22 8.29
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,833.00 1,238.13 48.05
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,723.00 1,731.11 -0.47

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 7.29
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 7.52 10.15 5.19 7.37 4 -- 2 -9.88
Annual 12/1/20 8.97 12.45 7.45 8.43 10 2 3 -1.98
Annual 12/1/19 4.75 5.77 4.00 4.55 6 -- 2 -5.10
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.41 1.75 0.80 1.51 5 -- 3 -9.06
Quarterly 6/1/20 2.77 3.59 2.05 2.60 5 1 2 0.51
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.54 2.02 1.30 1.40 6 -- 4 -11.67
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.17 1.71 0.85 1.01 6 2 2 -8.98

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 7.29 6.20 17.64
Annual 12/1/17 9.16 4.85 88.90
Annual 12/1/16 4.94 4.64 6.41
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.47 1.55 -5.12
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.34 0.40 -14.08
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.24 1.17 91.45
Quarterly 9/1/18 2.01 2.03 -0.92

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 6,127.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 6,818.80 8,415.52 4,354.57 7,206.00 5 1 3 -0.49
Annual 12/1/20 7,957.83 10,116.00 6,776.00 7,469.65 4 1 1 0.05
Annual 12/1/19 7,412.12 7,720.37 7,019.00 7,497.00 3 2 -- 1.57
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 7,299.00 7,433.00 7,165.00 7,299.00 2 1 -- 0.14
Quarterly 12/1/19 7,258.00 7,497.00 7,019.00 7,258.00 2 1 -- 0.54

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 6,127.00 5,845.93 4.81
Annual 12/1/17 3,022.00 4,004.62 -24.54
Annual 12/1/16 3,185.00 3,537.44 -9.96
Quarterly 6/1/19 7,457.00 7,848.00 -4.98
Quarterly 3/1/19 7,339.00 8,116.67 -9.58
Quarterly 12/1/18 6,127.00 5,607.65 9.26
Quarterly 9/1/18 5,525.00 4,719.57 17.07

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 3,157.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3,026.94 3,728.00 2,010.65 3,096.92 9 2 2 -3.51
Annual 12/1/20 3,735.70 4,939.00 3,023.00 3,681.11 15 5 3 -0.62
Annual 12/1/19 2,025.92 2,891.00 1,662.00 2,068.51 15 1 7 -4.69
Quarterly 3/1/20 655.92 1,061.50 315.05 626.00 7 1 4 -5.57
Quarterly 6/1/20 1,178.46 1,439.58 830.00 1,280.00 7 2 3 1.23
Quarterly 9/1/19 647.53 834.00 539.00 578.81 9 -- 6 -11.89
Quarterly 12/1/19 620.47 1,346.00 349.00 588.00 9 3 3 -4.49

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3,157.00 2,692.71 17.24
Annual 12/1/17 2,203.00 2,200.16 0.13
Annual 12/1/16 1,724.00 1,879.28 -8.26
Quarterly 6/1/19 629.00 651.20 -3.41
Quarterly 3/1/19 141.00 145.59 -3.15
Quarterly 12/1/18 900.00 448.03 100.88
Quarterly 9/1/18 856.00 843.11 1.53

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 98,768.36 98,768.36 98,768.36 98,768.36 1 -- 1 -2.14
Annual 12/1/19 39,993.72 39,993.72 39,993.72 39,993.72 1 -- 1 -10.60

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 14.66 16.20 11.80 14.82 5 -- -- -0.39
Annual 12/1/20 17.77 21.80 14.20 17.77 6 -- -- -0.14
Annual 12/1/19 9.04 10.04 7.80 9.62 7 -- -- -3.07
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 10.49 10.64 -0.15
Annual 12/1/16 8.50 8.84 -0.34

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 117,033.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 108,916.77 127,738.11 98,410.00 102,482.82 5 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 112,276.73 149,949.00 70,338.00 107,243.61 9 -- 2 -0.29
Annual 12/1/19 103,495.46 114,970.00 93,027.32 104,851.00 9 2 2 -0.45
Quarterly 3/1/20 26,467.81 36,676.00 16,280.95 26,810.90 5 -- 2 -0.53
Quarterly 6/1/20 30,280.66 39,264.00 24,790.17 29,987.00 5 -- 2 -0.55
Quarterly 9/1/19 25,015.18 29,496.00 21,303.00 25,279.02 7 1 3 -3.29
Quarterly 12/1/19 24,830.74 32,277.00 17,977.11 25,279.02 7 1 1 0.15

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 117,033.00 112,720.66 3.83
Annual 12/1/17 93,980.00 89,446.56 5.07
Annual 12/1/16 75,659.00 71,607.54 5.66
Quarterly 6/1/19 28,933.00 24,510.82 18.04
Quarterly 3/1/19 24,263.00 21,513.00 12.78
Quarterly 12/1/18 28,730.00 23,992.64 19.75
Quarterly 9/1/18 30,849.00 28,428.11 8.52

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 12.09 18.55 9.38

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate -23.31 97.72 -10.25