Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 91.98
Price - 52 Week High: 101.99
Price - 52 Week Low: 69.44
Price Date (Latest): 1/17/20
Median Price Target: 109.94
Diff from Prev Close: 17.96
% Difference: 19.53

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

1.95

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 7.37
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 3.60
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 7.89
Yield (%): 3.95

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 8.88 12.45 5.78 8.44 15 5 6 0.41
Annual 12/1/20 9.74 13.30 7.90 9.54 20 5 8 -1.27
Annual 12/1/19 5.00 5.80 4.79 4.93 19 4 8 -1.06
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.47 2.41 0.64 1.45 17 2 8 -11.95
Quarterly 6/1/20 3.10 3.90 2.29 3.16 17 3 7 1.69
Quarterly 9/1/20 3.13 4.04 2.43 3.05 17 6 4 5.93
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.65 2.50 1.48 1.61 18 5 9 -3.06
Long Term Growth 3.96 3.96 3.96 3.96 1 -- -- 0.00

Actuals -

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 7.37 6.26 17.66
Annual 12/1/17 4.96 4.87 1.83
Annual 12/1/16 3.72 3.67 1.25
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.48 1.35 9.84
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.51 1.37 10.04
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.34 0.23 47.36
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.12 1.07 98.44

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 51.89
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 54.26 56.15 49.00 55.94 4 1 2 -0.03
Annual 12/1/20 53.12 57.64 46.39 53.89 5 1 2 -0.06
Annual 12/1/19 50.47 52.35 45.61 51.20 5 2 1 0.06
Quarterly 3/1/20 52.27 52.27 52.27 52.27 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 53.39 53.39 53.39 53.39 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 54.55 54.55 54.55 54.55 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 52.58 52.58 52.58 52.58 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 51.89 49.47 4.89
Annual 12/1/17 50.68 45.54 11.29
Annual 12/1/16 44.35 43.89 1.04
Quarterly 9/1/19 51.38 52.20 -1.58
Quarterly 6/1/19 51.48 51.78 -0.57
Quarterly 3/1/19 51.07 50.41 1.32
Quarterly 12/1/18 51.89 51.72 0.32

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 15.65 20.73 11.45 14.89 7 3 2 0.76
Annual 12/1/20 16.08 20.74 13.45 15.60 8 2 4 0.18
Annual 12/1/19 11.63 12.87 9.93 11.59 7 3 2 2.46
Quarterly 3/1/20 2.83 3.59 2.01 2.88 5 2 3 0.02
Quarterly 6/1/20 4.52 4.84 3.84 4.64 5 2 3 -2.29
Quarterly 9/1/20 4.58 5.06 3.93 4.63 5 3 2 -0.21
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.51 4.04 2.95 3.65 5 3 2 19.38

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 12.35 10.18 21.27
Annual 12/1/16 10.39 9.49 9.45
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.46 2.89 19.67
Quarterly 6/1/19 3.64 2.96 22.91
Quarterly 3/1/19 2.09 1.81 15.71

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.20
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 4.25 4.50 3.60 4.36 9 -- -- -0.52
Annual 12/1/20 3.94 4.23 3.60 3.98 12 -- -- -0.42
Annual 12/1/19 3.62 3.70 3.60 3.60 12 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.93 1.00 0.90 0.90 4 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.20 3.21 -0.24
Annual 12/1/17 2.80 2.80 -0.02
Annual 12/1/16 2.40 2.40 -0.07
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.90 0.90 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.90 0.89 0.75
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.90 0.89 0.64
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.80 0.80 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 4,697.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 4,685.22 6,321.00 3,478.17 4,608.77 8 2 2 0.28
Annual 12/1/20 5,280.93 6,061.00 4,693.56 5,235.27 9 1 4 -1.31
Annual 12/1/19 3,199.18 3,556.00 3,032.67 3,131.35 9 4 1 2.64
Quarterly 3/1/20 785.52 912.45 477.13 871.00 5 2 -- 1.79
Quarterly 6/1/20 1,711.50 2,059.00 1,288.00 1,828.74 5 -- 2 -4.30
Quarterly 9/1/20 1,690.65 2,014.43 1,421.00 1,701.83 5 1 1 -1.41
Quarterly 12/1/19 1,161.59 1,455.00 973.00 1,090.18 6 2 1 12.93

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4,697.00 3,985.18 17.86
Annual 12/1/17 3,599.00 3,567.60 0.88
Annual 12/1/16 2,881.00 3,091.28 -6.80
Quarterly 9/1/19 881.00 949.25 -7.19
Quarterly 6/1/19 908.00 1,020.88 -11.06
Quarterly 3/1/19 308.00 296.18 3.99
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,302.00 710.37 83.29

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 6,766.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 7,224.12 8,739.03 5,598.09 7,075.52 13 5 6 0.82
Annual 12/1/20 7,813.88 9,579.77 6,817.44 7,720.26 16 5 9 -1.33
Annual 12/1/19 5,380.99 5,656.39 5,245.65 5,368.60 15 5 7 0.47
Quarterly 3/1/20 1,415.90 1,798.55 1,007.10 1,397.38 10 3 5 -4.53
Quarterly 6/1/20 2,278.25 2,781.37 1,898.86 2,323.10 10 2 6 -1.22
Quarterly 9/1/20 2,318.50 2,851.39 1,912.92 2,249.49 10 4 4 0.88
Quarterly 12/1/19 1,591.47 1,892.15 1,465.00 1,570.40 12 4 6 3.01

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 6,766.00 6,044.48 11.94
Annual 12/1/17 5,585.00 5,548.77 0.65
Annual 12/1/16 4,775.00 4,869.02 -1.93
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,448.00 1,418.60 2.07
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,474.00 1,481.82 -0.53
Quarterly 3/1/19 859.00 793.22 8.29
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,833.00 1,238.13 48.05

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 7.29
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 8.58 12.45 5.78 8.29 7 1 2 -1.23
Annual 12/1/20 9.72 13.30 8.26 9.60 9 -- 4 -1.67
Annual 12/1/19 5.28 5.75 4.77 5.29 4 2 -- 5.82
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.35 1.88 0.73 1.47 5 2 -- 2.43
Quarterly 6/1/20 2.98 3.31 2.60 3.15 5 -- 2 -4.24
Quarterly 9/1/20 3.07 3.59 2.75 3.08 5 1 1 -1.10
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.83 2.48 1.50 1.79 6 3 1 14.49

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 7.29 6.20 17.64
Annual 12/1/17 9.16 4.85 88.90
Annual 12/1/16 4.94 4.64 6.41
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.48 1.52 -2.45
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.47 1.55 -5.12
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.34 0.40 -14.08
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.24 1.17 91.45

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 6,127.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 7,024.80 8,401.96 5,935.60 6,880.83 4 2 1 -0.15
Annual 12/1/20 6,814.97 6,879.93 6,750.00 6,814.97 2 -- 1 -1.66
Annual 12/1/19 7,247.93 7,268.00 7,227.87 7,247.93 2 -- 1 -0.72
Quarterly 12/1/19 7,268.00 7,268.00 7,268.00 7,268.00 1 -- 1 -3.05

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 6,127.00 5,845.93 4.81
Annual 12/1/17 3,022.00 4,004.62 -24.54
Annual 12/1/16 3,185.00 3,537.44 -9.96
Quarterly 9/1/19 7,435.00 7,299.00 1.86
Quarterly 6/1/19 7,457.00 7,848.00 -4.98
Quarterly 3/1/19 7,339.00 8,116.67 -9.58
Quarterly 12/1/18 6,127.00 5,607.65 9.26

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 3,157.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3,412.76 4,867.00 2,261.21 3,160.13 11 3 2 0.41
Annual 12/1/20 3,907.93 5,580.00 3,232.40 3,804.00 13 2 4 -0.93
Annual 12/1/19 2,106.15 2,409.00 1,974.63 2,068.91 13 3 3 0.85
Quarterly 3/1/20 548.57 757.00 265.72 593.35 6 2 1 1.29
Quarterly 6/1/20 1,231.93 1,529.00 917.00 1,290.84 6 1 2 -3.66
Quarterly 9/1/20 1,215.40 1,429.69 1,011.00 1,242.84 6 2 1 -1.12
Quarterly 12/1/19 743.13 1,022.00 618.00 689.99 7 2 2 6.50

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3,157.00 2,692.71 17.24
Annual 12/1/17 2,203.00 2,200.16 0.13
Annual 12/1/16 1,724.00 1,879.28 -8.26
Quarterly 9/1/19 609.00 617.88 -1.44
Quarterly 6/1/19 629.00 651.20 -3.41
Quarterly 3/1/19 141.00 145.59 -3.15
Quarterly 12/1/18 900.00 448.03 100.88

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 102,085.58 102,085.58 102,085.58 102,085.58 1 -- 1 -4.20
Annual 12/1/19 25,968.45 25,968.45 25,968.45 25,968.45 1 1 -- 11.56
Quarterly 12/1/19 1,081.00 1,081.00 1,081.00 1,081.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 15.95 20.40 14.30 14.56 4 -- -- -1.30
Annual 12/1/20 18.78 24.40 16.90 17.08 5 -- -- -1.36
Annual 12/1/19 9.59 10.00 9.25 9.46 6 -- -- 0.49

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 10.49 10.64 -0.15
Annual 12/1/16 8.50 8.84 -0.34

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 117,033.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 117,207.92 125,240.00 100,169.00 123,489.00 5 1 2 0.18
Annual 12/1/20 115,444.26 133,610.00 104,209.46 113,048.64 7 1 3 -0.74
Annual 12/1/19 106,838.84 108,146.00 105,905.00 106,750.00 6 3 -- 0.32
Quarterly 3/1/20 24,224.11 28,262.16 15,394.28 26,620.00 4 1 -- 0.80
Quarterly 6/1/20 30,673.49 36,064.81 28,262.16 29,183.50 4 -- 1 -2.35
Quarterly 9/1/20 33,787.31 39,813.00 28,262.16 33,537.05 4 -- 1 -2.22
Quarterly 12/1/19 25,776.95 26,915.06 24,435.70 25,519.00 5 2 -- 2.34

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 117,033.00 112,720.66 3.83
Annual 12/1/17 93,980.00 89,446.56 5.07
Annual 12/1/16 75,659.00 71,607.54 5.66
Quarterly 9/1/19 27,249.00 24,209.47 12.56
Quarterly 6/1/19 28,933.00 24,510.82 18.04
Quarterly 3/1/19 24,263.00 21,513.00 12.78
Quarterly 12/1/18 28,730.00 23,992.64 19.75

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 12.48 18.40 9.45

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate -20.18 94.75 -8.76